Dramatic Declines in Teen Birth Rates: Closing the Gap Between Racial and Ethnic Groups

After leveling off in the mid-2000’s, teen birth rates dropped by almost one-third between 2007 and 2012, including a six percent decline between 2011 and 2012, according to newly-released data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Since 2007, the declines in teen birth rates have been nearly universal, occurring among all age groups of teens and across all 50 states and Washington, D.C. Importantly, these declines have been particularly dramatic among racial and ethnic minority teens, who historically have had higher birth rates than white teens. While that continues to be the case, the gap in teen birth rates has been closing.

teen birth rate graph

Declines in teen birth rates have been especially pronounced for Hispanic teens. For example, in 2007, the Hispanic teen birth rate was almost three times the rate of the white teen birth rate (75.3 compared with 27.2 births per 1000 teens). However, that gap has closed to just over two times the rate in 2012 (46.3 compared with 20.5 births per 1000 teens).

There are several possible reasons behind the accelerated declines in teen birth rates among Hispanics:

  • Their declines started later than other racial/ethnic groups.

    In the mid-1990s, black teens experienced dramatic declines in teen births, while the decline among Hispanics was much more gradual. From 1990 to 2000, the drop in the birth rate among black teens was almost three times that of Hispanics. The recent dramatic declines among Hispanics have led to similar rates for Hispanic and black teens in 2012.

  • The composition of the Hispanic population has changed. An increasing proportion of the Hispanic population is native-born, or born in the U.S. From 2000 to 2011, the number of Hispanics in the U.S. that were native born increased by over 57 percent while foreign-born Hispanics increased by only 33 percent. Because native-born Hispanics have lower teen birth rates than Hispanics born outside the U.S., this change in composition could lead to lower Hispanic birth rates – now and into the future.
  • Evidence-based teen pregnancy prevention programs have targeted and been implemented with Hispanic populations. Although fewer than 20 rigorously-evaluated, random assignment teen pregnancy prevention programs have been evaluated with Hispanic populations,1 nine programs have shown promise for delaying or reducing sexual activity and/or for improving condom and contraceptive use among Hispanic teens.2  And included among these nine are programs that are currently being evaluated in federally-funded, national evaluations: ¡Cuídate!, Draw the Line/Respect the Line, and It’s Your Game: Keep it Real.

Despite overall declines in U.S. teen birth rates and particularly impressive declines among racial and ethnic minorities, the U.S. still has the highest teen birth rates in the industrialized world. Teen births continue to have negative social, health, and economic impacts on teen parents, their children, and society, as a whole – and continued high rates of teenage childbearing among racial and ethnic minorities can contribute to intergenerational cycles of poverty. As a result, there is an ongoing need to:

  • Replicate evidence-based teen pregnancy prevention programs with a variety of populations (as the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is doing with its “Tier 1″ Teen Pregnancy Prevention (TPP) and its Personal Responsibility Education Program grantees);
  • Rigorously evaluate the effectiveness of new or innovative approaches to reducing teen pregnancy (as HHS is doing with its “Tier 2” TPP Grantees), including programs that focus on low-income and racial and ethnic minority populations; and
  • Support the teens who become young parents in their efforts to complete schooling and access health care, child care, family housing, and other critical supports (as HHS is doing with its Pregnancy Assistance Fund grantees).


Jennifer Manlove, Ph.D., Co-Director, Reproductive Health & Family Formation

Amanda Berger, Ph.D., Research Scientist

Elizabeth Cook, M.S.P.H., Research Analyst


[] Drawn from Child Trends’ searchable Lifecourse Interventions to Nurture Kids Successfully (LINKS) database, found here: http://www.childtrends.org/what-works/

[] ¡Cuídate!, Draw the Line/Respect the Line, Familias Unidas, Families Talking Together, It’s Your Game: Keep it Real, Positive Prevention, Project Respect, Sisters Saving Sisters, Teen Talk


California’s TBR is continuing to decline except that slight uptick in 2006. Do you plan to conduct an analysis demonstrating individual state’s contribution to the nationwide TBR decline? Thanks!

Great question! Birth rates among Asian American teens are so low they are often left out of analyses. The birth rate to teens ages 15-19 of Asian or Pacific Islander decent (NCHS- the National Center for Health Statistics, who release birth data, present birth rates for Asians and Pacific Islanders combined) dropped from 27.3 births per 1,000 teens in 1991 to 9.7 births per 1,000 teens in 2012 (a 64% decline). In more recent years, the birth rate to teens of Asian or Pacific Islander decent dropped from 14.8 births per 1,000 teens in 2007 to 9.7 births per 1,000 teens in 2012 (a 34% decline). For comparison, the teen birth rate for all teens was 29.4 births per 1,000 teens in 2012, almost 3 times the rate for Asian or Pacific Islanders!

What about Asian American teens? They are often not included in teen pregnancy statistics. Are there any information about whether there is a decline among them?

Ms. Sarri-
Thank you for your interest in this blog. Here are answers to your questions…

Are there differences in different parts of the U.S.?
There are substantial geographic variations in teen births across the United States. In 2011, the lowest teen birth rates were reported in the Northeast (New Hampshire and Massachusetts) and upper Midwest, while rates were highest in states across the southern part of the country (Arkansas and Mississippi). If you stay tuned to our website, we will be releasing a new report on teen pregnancy and childbearing in the next few weeks. (See Figure 2, Teenage birth rates for 15 – 19 year olds by state, 2011 at http://www.hhs.gov/ash/oah/adolescent-health-topics/reproductive-health/teen-pregnancy/trends.html.)

Has there been a greater decline among younger than older teens?
According to the CDC report, “birth rates fell significantly from 2011 to 2012 for teenagers in age groups 15-17 and 18-19 years. Consistent with recent trends, the rate for younger teens fell more during 2011-2012 than the rate for older teens, 8 percent compared with 5 percent. Since 1991, the rate for ages 15-17 fell 63 percent, to 14.1 per 1,000 in 2012, while the rate for ages 18-19 dropped 45 percent, to 51.4.” Most adolescents who give birth are 18 or older; in 2012, 72 percent of all teen births occurred to 18- and 19-year-olds.

Do you have any information as to whether girls on child welfare are at greater risk for pregnancy than those not on child welfare?
Teenage mothers are disproportionately represented among welfare recipients. One study of youth who had been in foster care in three Midwestern states found that by the age of 19, girls who had been in foster care were two-­and-­a-­half times more likely than were girls nationwide to have become pregnant (48 versus 20 percent) and nearly three times more likely to have had a child (32 versus 12 percent). The statistics about males’ roles in teen pregnancies were not much better; nearly one­ half (49 percent) of 21­-year-­old men who had aged out of the foster care system reported having gotten someone pregnant, compared with one­ fifth (19 percent) of young men nationwide. For more information, please see our brief on this topic: http://www.childtrends.org/?publications=teen-parents-in-foster-care-risk-factors-and-outcomes-for-teens-and-their-children.

Are there differences in different parts of the U.S.
Has there been a greater decline among younger than older teens?
Do you have any information as to whether girls on child welfare are at greater risk for pregnancy than those not on child welfare?.

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